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US: This is Eargle One, everything is fine, we are going down
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    Yesterday it was Japan which printed a record current account deficit. Today, we learn that in February the US will report its largest budget deficit in history, as the Keynesian floodgates open full bore, and tax revenues just refuse to come in at anything close to the pace of accelerated spending, forcing the US to borrow 54 cents for every dollar it spends

    Via: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/us-budget-deficit-hits-all-time-high-february

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  • 38 Replies sorted by
  • There's only one way out. Hard fucking work. Less consumerism based economy. Time to be innovative, build things again, quality investment in people. Quality products to sell to the affluent East.

  • @driftwood

    Nope, such simple recipes won't work.
    If you go this way it'll mean 3-4 times life level drop. Huge protests, most probably using big number of weapons available. And idea about "build things again" is good, but require even further life level drop.

  • @Vitaliy_Kiselev Don't worry, war is good for business. Now that Iraq and Afghanistan is winding down, the military-industrial complex is preparing for the war in Iran ... although Syria might be first.

  • Don't worry, war is good for business.

    Yep, it is good. Unfortunately, proportions of the problems are such that it does not matter.
    And real target of wars is bringing more controlled chaos and improve control on strategic energy resources.
    Other big problem is that timing is now way off and clocks are ticking.

  • @driftwood I agree, war based economy follow an old model in which countries economies weren't interconnected. Now stability is the most important factor for a good economical improvement. The decifit is increasing because the war costs are kicking in on the balance sheets (Interests etc). There is this funny thing of the administrations playing with numbers when they are in power to leave it to who comes next. For sure passing from Clinton to Bush was so traumatic that we are still paying the consequences now all over the world. Obama is doing a decent job, a nightmare would be if the mormon become president. It would be like having Sarah Palin per 10. I mean, seriously, how can someone who had offshore accounts in Cayman island and Switzerland and made his money in finance with CDS can become president? It's a nightmare I don't even wanna think about.

  • What the best solution V?

  • @terry2

    Do not worry, US economy depends on president personality the same way as swamp depends on biggest frog.

  • @brianluce

    Describing it require some time, illustrations and other things. I'll try to do it later in series of blog posts, as I'll find some time.
    But any solution include very big life level drop.

  • Sometimes I think this whole derivatives crisis wasn't totally accidental. I mean those who made it possible are not teenagers. And isn't it smart to produce debt to later convert it into weapons so that when it is finally time to pay, the creditors would be forced to obey the debtor! Although Marxism teaches us to believe this is just the essential logic of capitalism. No conspiracy theories.

  • There is no political discipline in the United States to become fiscally responsible, until it's forced upon them by the rest of the world...

    My advice, if Obama is re-elected, prepare for a quicker future structured US Bankruptcy with Obamacare. Obama is incapable of balancing a budget to achieve his socialistic ideals, and he can tax all the rich into poverty, it still won't make a dent in the debt and future obligations. It is just a fact that highly Democrat controlled states and cities have no discipline to balance budgets- see Illinois and California to see their model has no bearing on financial reality. No doubt the Republicans have no discipline when it comes to military spending either. Once again, neither side gets elected promising cuts to anything...

    Standards of living have been lowered tremendously except for the wealthy, who pinch pennies on payrolls and now watch their money buy far more as they can now snap up properties in bundles of 10 thanks to Fannie/Freddie as mass foreclosure take effect, while the hardest hit people are expedited into the streets.

    "Fortunately" for the government, the new media and social networking allows for easier propaganda enforcement and searching out dissidents, and targeting them with increased propaganda, be it in school or thru entertainment or via internet marketing.

    Inflation, especially record high gas, energy and health insurance prices, leaves Americans with little disposable income for much else other than their Apple wireless plans.

    I would love the United States to return back to manufacturing, but reality is that we are nearing the point where the hands-on technical knowledge has vanished as the craft has not been passed down from generation to generation.

  • @NickBen

    As usual inflation for energy and food will be highest.

    image

    Via: http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/wfs-home/foodpricesindex/en/

  • nice phrase @nickben "as the craft has not been passed down from generation to generation" north american pride is too big to come out of this hardworking, who nows what will happend. nevertheless i wish greeks much better stability!

  • @NickBen

    Obama has his many failures, but this notion that a president who is wholly owned by Wall Street and big investment banks is somehow a "socialist" is really beyond belief. How folks ever arrived at this notion is mind-boggling.

    As for Obamacare -- the rest of the industrialized world spends about 1/3rd of what we do on health care. And they live longer and actually get more care than we do -- AND they insure all citizens (nobody has to go the emergency room for routine medical care).

    How do they do it? I'm sorry, but it's that dirty word: socialized medicine. Note also that the cost of medical care is THE largest contributor to the U.S. budget deficit. If we paid the same per capita on healthcare as they do in Canada, we'd be running a budget surplus.

  • @sebasp1 the selling of the US "service based" economy has been around since Clinton and carried forward, where restaurant jobs were considered the equivalent of Manufacturing jobs, while real manufacturing jobs went overseas. I know too many people that lost manufacturing jobs over last 2 decades , and therefore are not passing down their hands-on knowledge

    @jrd "socialism" is not a dirty word, Obama needs to embrace it and speak his mind fully about what his promised land looks like, and how it actually pays for itself. I'll love to see the day medical innovation and progress continues while we generate surpluses from socialized medicine in the US. Hasn't worked so well for Social Security...

    I dislike both parties approach- far too little impact on the ground level, both argue over decimal places in budgets, very toxic political environment in another US election year means no fiscal discipline by politicians in US anytime soon

  • LOL, talking about "socialism" in the USA is like talking about "human rights" in China. There's very little of either for all but the 1% who rule. As for those with a gripe about Obama - isn't it obvious that he's on the same team as Bush/Cheney? The neo-cons who hijacked the Republican Party and exploited it to instigate the Iraq/Afghanistan invasions have deserted that party's twisted carcass, leaving the fundamentalist wackos to devour it. The war mongers moved on to infiltrate the Democratic Party where they are now plotting the invasion of Iran/Syria. The US deficit means nothing to them, they are gaming the system for all it's worth, and have absolutely no concern for the consequences.

  • @NickBen:

    "Socialism" has worked great for Social Security, which has never missed a payment, is going to be able to pay full payments until about 2037 (assuming there are no changes to the program), and will be able to pay 75%-80% of scheduled benefits thereafter, even if there are no adjustments between now and 2037.

    The Social Security "trust fund" which some conservatives insist is an "accounting fiction" is composed of U.S. Treasury bonds. If they're "fictional", then so is U.S. debt generally -- including bonds held by the richest Americans. If we're going to default on Treasury bonds selectively, I suggest we start with those held by the top .1%, rather than cheating working Americans out of Social Security payments.

    The reason Obama hasn't embraced socialism is because he's not a socialist, or anything approaching one -- as you would know, if you examined who runs his Treasury department and sets his economic policy.

    The cost-effectiveness of socialized medicine is proved throughout the industrialized world, from Japan to Sweden. What more proof do you need? They spend far, far less than we do, and live longer.

  • @jrd Social security system is bankrupt, thanks to both parties!

    I guess you missed Obama last year threatening to not send out Social Security checks? http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20078789-503544.html

    An elephant is an elephant, no matter which end you grab first...

    I approve of neither Obama or Boehner's plans for self-destruction...

  • @NickBen

    SS is a pay-as-you-go income transfer program which is currently receiving contributions from every working American (tens of millions of them) and his/her employer, and has a $2.3 trillion surplus invested in U.S. Treasury securities. It is far more secure than any insurance or pension plan you could ever hope to buy. The notion that a program with a huge surplus and a huge continuing income stream is bankrupt is sheer fantasy.

    It's true that politicians could change its fundamental character, and it's shameful that Obama talks about SS in much the same way as "conservatives" do (as a program to "cut" -- pretending that it's a burden on the Treasury, rather than what it is -- an income transfer program with NO effect on the U.S. deficit).

    In any case, this is not a political site, and I won't engage in further conversation. These arguments tend to be quite hopeless -- folks come to them with convictions of a religious, rather than rational, nature.

  • @jrd just good fun learning about different points of view and testing theories... other than that we have death, taxes and rendering time...

    glad Vitaliy is not concerned with political correctness!

  • This is why startups like TESLA are so important for the economy- re creating the automobile sector, job motor numero due (number one industrial military sector)

    Same for Your economy Vitaly :)

  • This is why startups like TESLA are so important for the economy

    TESLA is very good example of money and time waste :-)
    Btw, idea that you need to recreate automobile sector is very unproductive.

  • For some reason, I strongly believe in @driftwood comments. We in Asia has been working our a#* off everyday to make end's meet. People has been so greedy in making money the easy way (investing on papers) and oppressing the honest people. People just want an easy way out nowadays and the richer just don't want to share anymore. Greed is good when sharing is also being practiced. And that's that!

  • @Vitaliy I still prefer to see someone like Obama to run my country than a thief lunatic like Romney which I consider at the same level of George W (with George W being more funny though). What is crazy is that we have the most powerful army in the world but we don't use it where and when it's really needed like in Uganda or Siria, or when there was the genocide in Ruanda or in protecting South Sudan establishing a cuscin zone like in Korea. Look at that monster of Kony, all documented... all those poor children. All you need is a strike force operation, in and out, and some good intelligence infos. Some satellite imaging, You send a 100 people commando, you take him down and then you give assistance as setup school camps and hospitals to save those children and educate them.

  • @terry2

    Nice try :-)

    All you need is a strike force operation, in and out, and some good intelligence infos.

    I fully agree here, just think that target must be located exactly 180 degrees from yours :-)

  • @Vitaliy I don't understand, you mean that war in Iraq was good and that it'd be wrong to use a quick in/out operation instead of massive army to really help people in the African region? Big army operations always end up killing thousands of civilians before the people in power. So, we shouldn't do anything? I know people who are currently kidnapped by local militia in Congo and all they do is working for charity organizations! Btway, I've just received the Tilta Rig, all looks great, thank you!